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"That was a nice way to start off the tournament for sure," said Geiberger. "I played solid today. I missed a little birdie putt on the third hole and I got a little pissed off and made sure I made some the rest of the way."
This is reminiscent of 2004 as Geiberger came into that event needing a big paycheck to earn his PGA Tour card for the following year. He won that tournament and now, 144th on the money list, needs a strong finish in 2006 if he is to play the PGA Tour in 2007.
At the par-four sixth, Rollins knocked his approach close and tapped in the short birdie putt. He made it two in a row at seven when his 11-foot birdie try found the bottom of the cup. Rollins closed out his front nine in style when his second at the par-five hole missed the putting surface. He chipped to eight feet and ran home the birdie putt to make the turn at five-under-par 31.
Rollins pulled a three-iron out of the bag at 227-yard 17th and admitted after the round it was the wrong club. He missed the green, then chipped across the green with his second. Rollins almost chipped in for par, but instead tapped in for bogey.
"You can't win today, so I knew that even if I made par on 18, I was still in good position," said Rollins, who won this year's B.C. Open for his second tour victory. "I was disappointed with the tee shot on 17, but I didn't let it get to me."
Watney began on the back nine Thursday and collected a birdie at his first. He added a 12-foot birdie putt at 12, an eight-footer at 13 and a 20-foot putt at 14 to reach four-under par through his first five holes.
At the first, Watney sank a 15-foot birdie putt, but dropped a shot when he missed a five-foot par putt at the third. Watney recorded birdies at four, seven and nine to join the leaders.
St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bradley Dredge only managed a one- under 71 on Saturday at Kingsbarns, but it was enough to stay in the lead after three rounds of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. He finished 54 holes at 13-under-par 202 and is one ahead with one round to go. Padraig Harrington bogeyed his 16th and 17th holes on Saturday, but birdied 18 to polish off a three-under 68 at Carnoustie. He is alone in second place at minus-12.
American Edward Loar shot a two-under 70 at St. Andrews and is alone in third place at nine-under-par 206. Ernie Els and Vijay Singh both played Carnoustie on Saturday with the South African posting an even-par 71 to Singh's 72. The pair is knotted at minus-eight.
Temperatures were low at all three courses and, with the wind, all played difficultly on Saturday.
Dredge reached 14-under par thanks to a birdie at the par-five 16th, but that two-stroke margin was short-lived as he bogeyed No. 17. Dredge parred the closing hole to take a one-shot lead into Sunday.
"I take some confidence from my victory in Switzerland and I'm looking forward to tomorrow," said Dredge. "I will be playing with Padraig Harrington and he's a good guy, so I will enjoy that."
The Irishman sank a 30-foot birdie putt at the 12th and converted a short birdie putt at 14. He was cruising up the leaderboard, but problems hit late in his round.
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Tee Ball Against Place Geiberger
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Birdie Recalls Woods In Bogeyed
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Romero Wilkinson Salvage Host From Throwing Darts
Harrington Place Wrap Name On Member OF Ian Woosnam >>
Week Backs Tournament With Record >>
Points Adds Summerlin Against Matt >>
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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